SHMOO AI · UFC RECORDAll time · moneyline
145-83
Record
63.6%
Win rate
+0.59u
Units

Riley vs Kamaka III prediction & odds

Luke Riley vs Kai Kamaka III · UFC 329: McGregor vs Holloway

PrelimsUFC
AI pick wonRiley · KO/TKO
Luke Riley
Luke Riley
13-0-0
vs
Kai Kamaka III
Kai Kamaka III
18-8-1
RESULT

Riley won by KO/TKO

AI pick wonShmoo AI picked Riley at 58%

Graded at −305 · +0.33u (1 unit per pick)

Last prices before the start

Luke RileyMarket−305
Kai Kamaka IIIMarket+245

Market = the two-way market line. Pre-fight quotes, kept for the record.

Fight details

Date
Saturday, July 11, 2026
Prelims start
7:15 PM ET
Card
Prelims
Records
Riley 13-0-0 · Kamaka III 18-8-1

Fighter pages

How Shmoo AI picks are graded

Every pick is the AI's moneyline call: who wins. The AI picks the side without looking at betting lines. After the official result it's graded at 1 unit per pick at its recorded price, and misses count exactly like hits. No-bet calls and no-result fights are never counted.

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