Costa vs Durden prediction & odds

Alessandro Costa vs Cody Durden · UFC 329: McGregor vs Holloway

PrelimsUFC

AI Costa · Submission

Alessandro Costa

16-5-0

Cody Durden

18-10-0

Costa52%−6500 Durden48%+1800

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RESULT

Costa won by submission

AI Shmoo AI picked Costa at 52%

Graded at −265 · +0.38u (1 unit per pick)

Last prices before the start

Alessandro CostaMarket−6500

Cody DurdenMarket+1800

Market = the two-way market line. Pre-fight quotes, kept for the record.

Fight details

Event: UFC 329: McGregor vs Holloway
Date: Saturday, July 11, 2026
Prelims start: 5:15 PM ET
Card: Prelims
Records: Costa 16-5-0 · Durden 18-10-0

Fighter pages

How Shmoo AI picks are graded

Every pick is the AI's moneyline call: who wins. The AI picks the side without looking at betting lines. After the official result it's graded at 1 unit per pick at its recorded price, and misses count exactly like hits. No-bet calls and no-result fights are never counted.