Question 1

What sports does Shmoo AI cover?

Accepted Answer

Shmoo covers the UFC, Dana White's Contender Series, and the NFL. Each sport has its own separate record — they are never blended into one number, because a UFC card of established fighters and a developmental show of unsigned prospects are not the same bet.

Question 2

What is Shmoo?

Accepted Answer

Shmoo is an AI sports prediction model. It produces its own win probability for every UFC fight and every NFL game, independent of the betting market, and publishes the reasoning alongside the number. It is a research and analytics tool, not a sportsbook.

Question 3

How accurate is the AI, and how is the record graded?

Accepted Answer

The record is public and auto-graded: every pick is checked against the real result after the event, win or lose. Every pick carrying a side is graded, including coin flips. Explicit NO PICK passes are excluded because a pass is not a bet. Draws and no contests are voided rather than counted as wins. Losses are never edited out. Past results are not a promise of future ones.

Question 4

Does Shmoo AI beat Vegas?

Accepted Answer

Not on raw accuracy, and we do not claim to. Measured by Brier score the closing line is more accurate than our model. Where we look for an edge is closing line value — how the price we publish compares with the price the market closes at — and we publish that comparison. That is the metric we track, because beating the closing line is what predicts long-run results.

Question 5

Does the AI guarantee profits?

Accepted Answer

No. No prediction model can. Sample sizes in sports are small and variance dominates over any short stretch, which is why the full record including losing cards is published rather than a highlight reel.

Question 6

Is this a sportsbook? Do you take bets?

Accepted Answer

No. Shmoo does not accept wagers, hold funds, or operate as a betting service. It is a prediction and analytics tool. Any wagering you do happens at a licensed sportsbook of your own choosing.

Question 7

What do the confidence tiers mean?

Accepted Answer

Every pick carries a tier reflecting how much the model actually knows: LOCK, STRONG, LEAN, COIN_FLIP, or NO PICK. COIN_FLIP means the model genuinely cannot separate the two sides and says so. NO PICK means the price is worse than -300, so the read is published but no stake is attached.

Question 8

How much does Shmoo AI cost?

Accepted Answer

$15 per month, or $10 per month billed yearly. There is a 7-day free trial and you can cancel at any time.

FAQ