Amaya vs Machado prediction & odds

Melissa Amaya vs Valesca Machado · Women's Strawweight · UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr vs Barcelos

Main card · Women's StrawweightUFC

AI Machado · KO/TKO

Melissa Amaya

0-0-0

Valesca Machado

0-1-0

Amaya47%+164 Machado53%−198

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RESULT

Machado won by KO/TKO

AI Shmoo AI picked Machado at 53%

Graded at −200 · +0.5u (1 unit per pick)

Last prices before the start

Melissa AmayaMarket+164

Valesca MachadoMarket−198

Market = the two-way market line. Pre-fight quotes, kept for the record.

Fight details

Event: UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr vs Barcelos
Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
Main card starts: 8:00 PM ET
Card: Main card
Weight class: Women's Strawweight
Records: Amaya 0-0-0 · Machado 0-1-0

Fighter pages

How Shmoo AI picks are graded

Every pick is the AI's moneyline call: who wins. The AI picks the side without looking at betting lines. After the official result it's graded at 1 unit per pick at its recorded price, and misses count exactly like hits. No-bet calls and no-result fights are never counted.