Mederos vs Jones prediction & odds

MarQuel Mederos vs Mason Jones · UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs Rodrigues

Main cardUFC

AI Mederos · KO/TKO

MarQuel Mederos

11-1-1

Mason Jones

18-2-0

Mederos28%+420 Jones72%−660

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RESULT

Mederos won by KO/TKO

AI Shmoo AI picked Jones at 72%

Graded at −260 · −1u (1 unit per pick)

Last prices before the start

MarQuel MederosMarket+420

Mason JonesMarket−660

Market = the two-way market line. Pre-fight quotes, kept for the record.

Fight details

Event: UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs Rodrigues
Date: Saturday, August 22, 2026
Main card starts: 9:20 PM ET
Card: Main card
Records: Mederos 11-1-1 · Jones 18-2-0

Fighter pages

How Shmoo AI picks are graded

Every pick is the AI's moneyline call: who wins. The AI picks the side without looking at betting lines. After the official result it's graded at 1 unit per pick at its recorded price, and misses count exactly like hits. No-bet calls and no-result fights are never counted.