Nelson vs Gonzalez prediction & odds

Kyle Nelson vs Cristian Perez Gonzalez · Lightweight · UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs Malott

Main card · LightweightUFC

AI Gonzalez · KO/TKO

Kyle Nelson

17-7-1

Cristian Perez Gonzalez

15-2-0

Nelson33%+275 Gonzalez67%−345

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RESULT

Gonzalez won by KO/TKO

AI Shmoo AI picked Gonzalez at 67%

Graded at −375 · +0.27u (1 unit per pick)

Last prices before the start

Kyle NelsonMarket+275

Cristian Perez GonzalezMarket−345

Market = the two-way market line. Pre-fight quotes, kept for the record.

Fight details

Event: UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs Malott
Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026
Main card starts: 8:00 PM ET
Card: Main card
Weight class: Lightweight
Records: Nelson 17-7-1 · Gonzalez 15-2-0

Fighter pages

How Shmoo AI picks are graded

Every pick is the AI's moneyline call: who wins. The AI picks the side without looking at betting lines. After the official result it's graded at 1 unit per pick at its recorded price, and misses count exactly like hits. No-bet calls and no-result fights are never counted.