Prado vs Bonfim prediction & odds

Francisco Prado vs Ismael Bonfim · Lightweight · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Duncan

Prelims · LightweightUFC

Prado · KO/TKO · No bet

Francisco Prado

12-5-0

Ismael Bonfim

20-7-0

Prado48%−162 Bonfim52%No bet+136

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RESULT

Prado won by KO/TKO

Shmoo AI picked Bonfim at 52%

No bet: price-gated, so it isn't staked or counted in the record.

Last prices before the start

Francisco PradoMarket−162

Ismael BonfimMarket+136

Market = the two-way market line. Pre-fight quotes, kept for the record.

Fight details

Event: UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Duncan
Date: Saturday, October 10, 2026
Prelims start: 5:00 PM ET
Card: Prelims
Weight class: Lightweight
Records: Prado 12-5-0 · Bonfim 20-7-0

Fighter pages

How Shmoo AI picks are graded

Every pick is the AI's moneyline call: who wins. The AI picks the side without looking at betting lines. After the official result it's graded at 1 unit per pick at its recorded price, and misses count exactly like hits. No-bet calls and no-result fights are never counted.