SHMOO AI · UFC RECORDAll time · moneyline
145-83
Record
63.6%
Win rate
+0.59u
Units

Dawson vs Aliev prediction & odds

Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev · Lightweight · UFC 333: Volkanovski vs Evloev

Prelims · LightweightUFC
Dawson · Decision · No bet
Grant Dawson
Grant Dawson
24-3-1
vs
Nurullo Aliev
Nurullo Aliev
12-0-0
RESULT

Dawson won by decision

Shmoo AI picked Aliev at 52%

No bet: price-gated, so it isn't staked or counted in the record.

Last prices before the start

Grant DawsonMarket−112
Nurullo AlievMarket−108

Market = the two-way market line. Pre-fight quotes, kept for the record.

Fight details

Date
Saturday, October 24, 2026
Prelims start
12:00 PM ET
Card
Prelims
Weight class
Lightweight
Records
Dawson 24-3-1 · Aliev 12-0-0

Fighter pages

How Shmoo AI picks are graded

Every pick is the AI's moneyline call: who wins. The AI picks the side without looking at betting lines. After the official result it's graded at 1 unit per pick at its recorded price, and misses count exactly like hits. No-bet calls and no-result fights are never counted.

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