Tobias vs Fernando prediction & odds

Rafael Tobias vs Lucas Fernando · UFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado Garry

PrelimsUFC

AI Fernando · KO/TKO

Rafael Tobias

14-3-0

Lucas Fernando

14-3-0

Tobias32%+240 Fernando68%−298

More AI bets Public Full AI breakdown

RESULT

Fernando won by KO/TKO

AI Shmoo AI picked Fernando at 68%

Graded at −300 · +0.33u (1 unit per pick)

Last prices before the start

Rafael TobiasMarket+240

Lucas FernandoMarket−298

Market = the two-way market line. Pre-fight quotes, kept for the record.

Fight details

Event: UFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado Garry
Date: Saturday, August 15, 2026
Prelims start: 6:00 PM ET
Card: Prelims
Records: Tobias 14-3-0 · Fernando 14-3-0

Fighter pages

How Shmoo AI picks are graded

Every pick is the AI's moneyline call: who wins. The AI picks the side without looking at betting lines. After the official result it's graded at 1 unit per pick at its recorded price, and misses count exactly like hits. No-bet calls and no-result fights are never counted.